What if Russia supported the new government in Ukraine?
1. There would be neither an ongoing conflict in Lugansk and Donetsk regions of Ukraine nor 6700 fallen victims
Residents of the eastern Ukrainian region of Donetsk look out of a bus window as they prepare to depart for Russia to escape the fighting between the Ukrainian army and pro-Russian rebels at a collection point in Donetsk, 16/Jul/2014
2. There would not be MH17 Malaysia plane crash that resulted in the death of 298 people
Makeshift memorial at Amsterdam Schiphol Airport for the victims of the Malaysian Airlines flight MH17 which crashed in Ukraine on 18 July 2014 killing all 298 people on board
3. Crimea would still be part of Ukraine and would not be isolated from the rest of the world
Southern Crimea shore
4. Hundred countries would not vote against Russia at UN General Assembly and Kremlin would have a better international reputation
On March 27, 2014 UN General Assembly adopted Resolution 68/262 entitled “Territorial integrity of Ukraine”. The resolution, endorsed by 100 UN member states, supported the territorial integrity of Ukraine and dismissed the annexation of Crimea as illegal
5. Ousted President of Ukraine Viktor Yanukovich would be in jail on corruption charges
A photo from the ex-president Yanukovic’s mansion that boasted an ostrich farm, nine-hole golf course, rare car collection and a Spanish galleon built upon a barge on his own riverside harbor. On February 2014, following the public protests in which around 100 people had already died, beleaguered Yanukovic fled to Russia.
6. No sanctions would be imposed against Russia and regional economies would not suffocate from lost trade opportunities.
It’s a lose-lose confrontation
7. There would be no Russian soldiers killed or captured in the territory of Ukraine
Russian paratroopers captured by Ukrainian forces near the village of Dzerkalne, Donetsk region, some 20 to 30 kilometers from the Russian border, Aug. 28, 2014
8. Russian economy could continue to grow instead of shrinking by more than 3% and ruble would not lose 40% of its value against the US dollar
According to Russian minister of Economy Alexei Ulyukayev Russia’s economy shrank by 3.2% in the first 5 months of 2015
9. Ukraine and Russia would remain partners. Russia could invest in the Ukrainian economy and maintain certain influence on the political developments in Kiev
As part of the “Boycott of Russian products” campaign, this public placard in Ukraine calls the citizens “not to purchase the products of the aggressor”
10. Rates of development in Ukraine would be much faster and very soon Ukrainians would complete a glorious success story that started in Maidan square on November 2013
It is the only reason why Putin administration opposed the new government in Kiev, since the success of Ukrainians would resonate in Russia. Ukrainians and Russians are truly brother nations and if Russia does not pull Ukraine back into authoritarianism, then Ukraine will push Russia onto democratic transition path